Expected DA Calculator Jan 2024: AICPIN for August 2023 Anticipating DA Increase from January 2024

Are you a government employee or pensioner eagerly awaiting updates on the Dearness Allowance (DA) for the coming year? The release of the Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for August 2023 brings with it the promise of a potential increase in DA from January 2024.

In this blog post, we’ll delve into the details of the CPI-IW for August 2023, its implications for DA, and what government employees and pensioners can expect in the upcoming year.

The expected Dearness Allowance (DA) for January 2024 is 50% or more. The exact figure will be determined by the CPI-IW index for the remaining five months of 2023. The DA for July 2024 has been confirmed to be 46%, which is a 4% increase from the existing rate.

The DA for central government employees is 42% of their base salary or pension. The last DA increase took place on March 24, 2024, and it took effect on January 1, 2024.

The formula for calculating DA for central government employees is:

• DA% = ((Average of AICPI (Base Year 2001=100) for the past 12 months -115.76)/115.76)100

The formula for calculating DA for central public sector employees is:

• DA% = ((Average of AICPI (Base Year 2001=100) for the past 3 months -126.33)/126.33)100
• The formula for calculating DA for Central government employees after 1.1.2006 is:
• Dearness Allowance %= {(Average of AICPI(Base year 2001=100) for the past 12 months – 115.77)/115.77}*100
• DA = (A – 261.4)*100/(261.4) Where A = Avg of CPI-IW (base 2016=100) for the past 12 months x linking factor of 2.88
• The DA for July 2024 is confirmed to be 46%, which is a 4% increase over the current rate.

Understanding the CPI-IW for August 2023

The Labour Bureau, an attached office of the Ministry of Labour & Employment, diligently compiles the Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers each month. This index is based on retail prices collected from 317 markets across 88 industrially significant centers in India. The CPI-IW is calculated for both 88 specific centers and the All-India level, with the data typically released on the last working day of the following month. August 2023’s CPI-IW data is the focus of this press release.

For August 2023, the All-India CPI-IW experienced a slight decrease of 0.5 points, settling at 139.2. This reflects a 0.36% reduction in comparison to the previous month, as opposed to a 0.23% increase recorded for the same period last year. Notably, the Food & Beverages group made the most significant negative contribution, accounting for a 0.71 percentage point decline in the overall index. Items such as Wheat, Poultry/Chicken, Eggs-hen, Cotton Seed Oil, and various fruits and vegetables played a role in driving this decrease. However, the decline was offset by positive contributions from other items like Rice, Arhar Dal, and various educational and stationery expenses.

Year-on-Year Inflation

The year-on-year inflation rate for August 2023 stood at 6.91%, marking a decrease from 7.54% in the previous month. This also represents a decrease from the 5.85% recorded during the corresponding month in the previous year. Specifically, Food inflation decreased to 10.06% in August 2023, down from 11.87% the previous month and 6.46% during the same month in the previous year.

Expected DA/DR from January 2024

The CPI-IW for August 2023 plays a crucial role in determining the Dearness Allowance (DA) and Dearness Relief (DR) for central government employees and pensioners from January 2024 onwards. Based on historical patterns and the increase in the CPI-IW, it is anticipated that DA/DR rates will see a significant rise.

As of now, the existing DA/DR rate from January 2023 is 42%. However, the CPI-IW data for August 2023 indicates a potential increase to 50% from January 2024.

This projection is in line with the calculation formula for DA and the government’s policy to raise the rate of Children Education Allowance by 25% whenever DA crosses the 50% mark. This increase is eagerly awaited by government employees and pensioners, as it would represent a substantial boost in their income.